U.S. Airport Surveillance Radar Market Size, Share & Forecast 2026–2032

ID: MR-10778 | Published: November 2026
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Report Highlights

  • ✓Country: United States
  • ✓Market: Airport Surveillance Radar Market
  • ✓Market Size 2024: USD 0.92 billion
  • ✓Market Size 2032: USD 1.38 billion
  • ✓CAGR: 5.2%
  • ✓Base Year: 2025
  • ✓Forecast Period: 2026–2032
Market Growth Chart
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Analyst Findings and Recommendations
FINDING 01
Sustainment Revenue Outpaces Replacement: RTX's ASR-11 sustainment work will generate more revenue after 2028 than new radar production, as the FAA extends service on the Digital Airport Surveillance Radar fleet. Saab Sensis holds surface surveillance positions, so challengers must displace incumbents through software.
FINDING 02
Radar Remains Indispensable Despite ADS-B: The belief that ADS-B will retire terminal radar misreads FAA policy. The FAA retains primary radar at major hubs because ADS-B depends on aircraft equipage and cannot detect non-cooperative targets such as drones. Radar budgets hold steady through 2032.
ANALYST RECOMMENDATION

Analyst Recommendation — Pursue Sustainment Subcontracts Now: Suppliers should pursue ASR-9 and ASR-11 sustainment subcontracts with RTX and Saab Sensis before the FAA's 2026 procurement window. Recurring service revenue offers lower risk than competing for full radar replacements. Enter with spares, obsolescence management, and multilateration software.

U.S. Airport Surveillance Radars: Market Overview

The United States airport surveillance radar market is shaped less by commercial demand than by federal stewardship. The Federal Aviation Administration owns and operates the national terminal radar network and buys through competitive contracts and long sustainment vehicles rather than open private sales. Valued at USD 0.92 billion in 2024, the market is small relative to the global air traffic control radar sector, yet FAA specifications frequently become reference standards for allied air navigation authorities.

Structurally, growth comes from replacing and upgrading existing assets rather than adding new airports. The Airport Surveillance Radar Model 11 (ASR-11) and the ageing ASR-9 fleet anchor the installed base, while surface movement needs are served by multilateration sensors within the Airport Surface Surveillance Capability. Procurement cycles often extend beyond a decade, which keeps vendor concentration high and makes the market more predictable than most global peers.

Growth Drivers in U.S. Airport Surveillance Radars

The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, enacted in November 2021, directs USD 12.5 billion toward FAA air traffic control facilities, a funding stream that has accelerated terminal radar procurement. The FAA Reauthorization Act of 2024 extended multi-year authorizations, giving program offices the budget visibility needed to award long-lead sensor and software contracts. Together these measures convert political commitment into funded radar upgrades at large hub airports.

Asset age is the second driver. Many ASR-9 units installed during the 1990s are reaching end-of-life, forcing replacement with digital ASR-11 systems or equivalent solid-state radars. Third, surface traffic growth at hubs such as Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson and Dallas/Fort Worth drives Airport Surface Surveillance Capability deployments, while FAA forecasts of rising commercial enplanements through 2032 sustain radar demand for capacity management.

Market Restraints and Entry Barriers

Buy American requirements under 41 U.S.C. Chapter 83 restrict foreign-built radar subsystems on federally funded programs, which narrows the field for overseas manufacturers. Entrants must also pass FAA system certification, where Technical Standard Orders and the FAA Acquisition Management System require extended qualification testing, often lasting 18 to 36 months. These barriers shift advantage toward domestic primes that already hold qualification records.

Incumbent advantage is entrenched. RTX holds the ASR-11 production line and sustainment base, while Saab Sensis controls multilateration and surface detection architecture, creating interoperability lock-in. Spectrum constraints in the 2.7–2.9 GHz band, coordinated with NTIA, further limit new radar frequencies, and NEPA environmental review can add 12 to 24 months to site-level installations at hub airports.

Market Opportunities in the United States

The most immediate opportunity sits in ASR-9 retirement. With the legacy fleet still operating at a large share of terminal sites, replacement and sustainment bundles could represent an addressable pool of roughly USD 0.25 billion across 2026 to 2030, by analyst estimate. Suppliers offering digital retrofit kits compatible with existing towers and cabling can shorten installation timelines considerably.

A second opportunity lies in multilateration sensors for regional airports. Smaller airports lacking surface radar can adopt wide-area multilateration, creating demand for compact sensors and integration services. Federal interest in counter-drone detection around controlled airspace also offers adjacent demand that existing radar vendors have only begun to address.

Market at a Glance

MetricValue
Market Size 2024USD 0.92 billion
Market Size 2032USD 1.38 billion
Growth Rate (CAGR)5.2%
Most Critical Decision FactorFAA procurement timing and certification pathway alignment
Largest RegionSoutheast United States
Competitive StructureConcentrated oligopoly led by RTX and Saab Sensis

Leading Market Participants

  • Raytheon (RTX)
  • Saab Sensis
  • Thales
  • Hensoldt
  • Indra Sistemas
  • Leonardo
  • L3Harris Technologies
  • Northrop Grumman
  • Honeywell
  • Lockheed Martin

Regulatory and Policy Environment

The Federal Aviation Administration governs procurement through its Acquisition Management System and certifies systems under Title 14 of the Code of Federal Regulations, with operational approvals coordinated by the Air Traffic Organization. Federal funding flows through the Airport Improvement Program and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, while the FAA Reauthorization Act of 2024 sets multi-year authorizations. Buy American requirements under 41 U.S.C. Chapter 83 apply to federally funded radar purchases.

Spectrum and environmental rules add timelines. The National Telecommunications and Information Administration coordinates federal radar frequencies, including the 2.7–2.9 GHz aeronautical band, while the Federal Communications Commission governs commercial interference. NEPA reviews for new sites typically require 12 to 24 months, and cybersecurity accreditation under FAA security orders adds further time before operational acceptance.

Long-Term Outlook for U.S. Airport Surveillance Radars

By 2032 the market will reach USD 1.38 billion, with growth concentrated in digital radar sustainment, surface surveillance, and multilateration rather than new primary installations. The ASR-11 fleet will remain the main revenue base, and RTX is positioned to retain that position through service contracts. Saab Sensis will hold surface surveillance leadership as Airport Surface Surveillance Capability coverage expands to additional hub airports.

Structural change will be gradual. ADS-B and satellite navigation will expand surveillance coverage, but primary radar will remain required at major hubs, preserving a stable installed base. Entrants that build certified multilateration and integration capabilities before the 2028 budget cycle will secure positions that are difficult to dislodge later in the decade.

Frequently Asked Questions

Buy American requirements restrict foreign-built subsystems on federally funded programs, so most overseas suppliers partner with a domestic prime. Teaming with an incumbent is the most reliable route to qualification.
Qualification commonly runs 18 to 36 months, covering testing, certification, and operational acceptance. Entrants should budget for this timeline before committing to a bid.
Sustainment and services contracts on the ASR-9 and ASR-11 fleets offer the quickest route to revenue. They avoid full system certification while building the qualification record needed for later replacement awards.
Yes, because a large share of legacy ASR-9 sites still require retrofit or replacement through the mid-2020s. Digital retrofit kits compatible with existing infrastructure give new suppliers a practical point of entry.
Radars operating in the 2.7–2.9 GHz aeronautical band must be coordinated with NTIA, and commercial interference is governed by the FCC. Frequency coordination should begin early because it can extend site timelines significantly.

Market Segmentation

By Product Type
  • Primary Surveillance Radar
  • Secondary Surveillance Radar
  • Surface Movement Radar
  • Multilateration Sensors
By End User
  • FAA Terminal Facilities
  • Large Hub Airports
  • Regional Airports
  • Military Joint-Use Airfields
By Procurement Type
  • New Installation
  • Modernization Upgrade
  • Sustainment and Services

Table of Contents

Chapter 01 Methodology and Scope
1.1 Research Methodology
1.2 Scope and Definitions
1.3 Data Sources
Chapter 02 Executive Summary
2.1 Report Highlights
2.2 Market Size and Forecast 2024-2032
Chapter 03 United States Airport Surveillance Radar Market - Market Analysis
3.1 Market Overview
3.2 Growth Drivers
3.3 Restraints
3.4 Opportunities
Chapter 04 Product Type Insights
4.1 Primary Surveillance Radar
4.2 Secondary Surveillance Radar
4.3 Surface Movement Radar
4.4 Multilateration Sensors
4.5 Others
Chapter 05 End User Insights
5.1 FAA Terminal Facilities
5.2 Large Hub Airports
5.3 Regional Airports
5.4 Military Joint-Use Airfields
5.5 Others
Chapter 06 Procurement Type Insights
6.1 New Installation
6.2 Modernization Upgrade
6.3 Sustainment and Services
6.4 Others
Chapter 07 Competitive Landscape
7.1 Market Players
7.2 Leading Market Participants
7.2.1 Raytheon (RTX)
7.2.2 Saab Sensis
7.2.3 Thales
7.2.4 Hensoldt
7.2.5 Indra Sistemas
7.2.6 Leonardo
7.2.7 L3Harris Technologies
7.2.8 Northrop Grumman
7.2.9 Honeywell
7.2.10 Lockheed Martin
7.3 Regulatory Environment
7.4 Outlook

Research Framework and Methodological Approach

Information
Procurement

Information
Analysis

Market Formulation
& Validation

Overview of Our Research Process

MarketsNXT follows a structured, multi-stage research framework designed to ensure accuracy, reliability, and strategic relevance of every published study. Our methodology integrates globally accepted research standards with industry best practices in data collection, modeling, verification, and insight generation.

1. Data Acquisition Strategy

Robust data collection is the foundation of our analytical process. MarketsNXT employs a layered sourcing model.

Secondary Research
  • Company annual reports & SEC filings
  • Industry association publications
  • Technical journals & white papers
  • Government databases (World Bank, OECD)
  • Paid commercial databases
Primary Research
  • KOL Interviews (CEOs, Marketing Heads)
  • Surveys with industry participants
  • Distributor & supplier discussions
  • End-user feedback loops
  • Questionnaires for gap analysis

Analytical Modeling and Insight Development

After collection, datasets are processed and interpreted using multiple analytical techniques to identify baseline market values, demand patterns, growth drivers, constraints, and opportunity clusters.

2. Market Estimation Techniques

MarketsNXT applies multiple estimation pathways to strengthen forecast accuracy.

Bottom-up Approach

Country Level Market Size
Regional Market Size
Global Market Size

Aggregating granular demand data from country level to derive global figures.

Top-down Approach

Parent Market Size
Target Market Share
Segmented Market Size

Breaking down the parent industry market to identify the target serviceable market.

Supply Chain Anchored Forecasting

MarketsNXT integrates value chain intelligence into its forecasting structure to ensure commercial realism and operational alignment.

Supply-Side Evaluation

Revenue and capacity estimates are developed through company financial reviews, product portfolio mapping, benchmarking of competitive positioning, and commercialization tracking.

3. Market Engineering & Validation

Market engineering involves the triangulation of data from multiple sources to minimize errors.

01 Data Mining

Extensive gathering of raw data.

02 Analysis

Statistical regression & trend analysis.

03 Validation

Cross-verification with experts.

04 Final Output

Publication of market study.

Client-Centric Research Delivery

MarketsNXT positions research delivery as a collaborative engagement rather than a static information transfer. Analysts work with clients to clarify objectives, interpret findings, and connect insights to strategic decisions.